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    • #11818
      PasadenaTrojan
      Participant

    • #11819
      PasadenaTrojan
      Participant

      I think Judge makes it. Schwarber too. Trout. Maybe 40%. Obv needs to stay healthy. Same odds for Ohtani-Son.

      Rest I don’t think so

    • #11825
      Java
      Keymaster

      Good list. On the surface you think everyone will.  Buuuuut

       

      Stanton. Not sure of his contract with the Yankees, but if it goes beyond this year, I say yes, he will   the closer he gets the more of the Yankees will make sure he has a legit shot at it

      trout was an initial “for sure”  but think  he has the body of a 40-year-old man  he is 92 home runs away  in a non-steroids era power production decreases dramatically in your late 30s  and he probably needs Parts of 4 years. I think your  40% number is right

      Judge will become the DH when Stanton retires and I think he can hit until he’s 40. I think he easily gets to 500 but I don’t think he gets to 600

      Manny needs 129  he presently seems to be hitting about 25 to 30 a year  he will need all or parts of five years  I guess if he becomes a DH it’s possible  I’m just not liking the odds there

      Bryce Harper like trout has a lot of tread on his tires. He’s a 25 HR player  he’s going to need six years and on the edge of his 40th birthday to do it. I’ll say no to that

      Schwarber is a weird one. It depends which guy we get the next few years, the one for his first 10 years or the one the last couple of years  same age as Harper  who have I voted for only two? Yankees at that how terrible of me  calling me skeptical on Schwarber although I hope he gets it

      I am surprised Shohei is as far away as he is however, he’s only 31 I think  I think because of his size he plays till 40 I think after this year and next he will need about 120 or 130 home runs and he will have seven years to do it. I like those odds   but will he hit six or 700 I do not think so just shows you how incredibly difficult some of these all-time records are

       

      what did Albert hit?  700?  Remarkable

       

    • #11843
      saturdaysarebetter
      Participant

      Stanton and Trout would already be there if it wasn’t for injuries.  Harper has missed a good bit of time too.  I hope they all make it.

      • #11854
        PasadenaTrojan
        Participant

        True.

        Trout has a big year and stays healthy his odds go up to 70%

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