- This topic has 5 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago by
BigBalls.
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March 31, 2026 at 3:50 pm #11306
BigBalls
ParticipantTruth Social Announcements on Fridays after markets close and Sunday nights before markets open disclose the intent.
Trump says Iran is Negotiating…stocks jump
Iran says oh no we are not ..stocks tumble
Trump says we are close to concluding military operations…stocks jump
Iran says you might be close but we are not..stocks tumble
Trump now says the Hormuz can stay in Iranian control …stocks jump
We are now awaiting Iran’s response.
What a freaking circus, what pisses me off the most is I haven’t been buying or selling. The insiders are crushing it. An investigation into the Trump Crime Family would reveal that they are making billions off this.
Sorry guys, I am again vindicated by the facts , I predicted chaos and instability if Trump were elected. -
April 1, 2026 at 4:17 am #11330
RWC
ParticipantWhat’s interesting is how Geopolitical events have always rocked the market over the years. I’m not disagreeing with what you’re saying it’s all true, but take a look at some of these events especially when war is involved and the pattern is consistent with what’s going on now.
Pearl Harbor attack 1941: led to a -19% decline with gyrations up and down based on comments by FDR, before recovering
Cuban Missile crisis 1962: 8% decline with a full recovery after tensions eased.
Gulf war 1990: Big initial decline, markets recovered within months.
Brexit vote 2016: caused a lot of widespread global uncertainty and short term volatility
Russian- Ukraine war 2022: once again a lot of short term panic with a 7% pullback and disruption in energy flows. Sounds familiar
Israel- Hamas war 2023: caused a quick drawdown
The S&P 500 has usually been higher within months after the start of major conflicts unless there is an energy crisis or recession.
With the current chaos you’re right about Trump talking peace negotiations one day, market soars a 1000 pts and the next day a huge drop when talks supposedly stall. It is crazy and I certainly hope we’re not being played while someone else is cashing in. if history holds up we will recover stay tuned.
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April 1, 2026 at 3:46 pm #11343Participant
Good, sensible post. Of course, world events shape or impact financial markets. That makes perfect sense. What I find interesting at the moment is that there seems to be a deliberate effort to manipulate the markets by manufacturing events or hinting at coming events. The financial markets are forward thinking so making statements about future events makes the needle move. The current events are creating a volatility that favors those in the know, those that get the news before the rest of us. My thinking has always been to not panic when there are bad days so I haven’t gotten hurt, I stay the course. Thanks to yesterday and so far today I do have an opportunity to sell some stuff today and pare down my risk. I have a sell order in. Seems to me the right move is to sell when we get the “pump “ news and buy when the real news brings prices down. I just hate the guessing games. I like to buy or sell based on data and analysis not on the whims of what someone says. But it’s the world we are living in right now. Thanks for a nice post.
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April 3, 2026 at 7:58 pm #11376
Java
KeymasterI actually think things have been more calm and stable than during the Biden administration where we had a literal invasion of our southern border
And I think things are a lot more calm and under control and calculated than the first trumpet administration where he turned on and made enemies of all of his friends and it was daily chaos
I think most everything I am seeing here is calculated and designed the negotiations are typical Trump big threats, big talk, and eventual compromise where the end position is still further along than where Trump started and that’s his goal
If the US had a 10% tariff, he would threaten 50% on a nation dial it back to 30% and eventually settle at 15% and let the nation declare victory. While Trump knew that he had boosted their tariff by 50% from 10 to 15.
He has been much more activist and much less isolationist this time around. Bowing to the Hawks of the Republican Party.
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April 5, 2026 at 4:29 pm #11405Participant
I don’t know Java, this go around seems just as chaotic if not more than the last one. Saying Canada will be the 51st state, threatening to take Greenland, insulting the PM of our staunchest ally England, among just a few examples seems bad to me. Imposing tariffs that now have to be refunded, all of it seems half baked and not calculated to me. We shall see.
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April 3, 2026 at 7:58 pm #11377Keymaster
I actually think things have been more calm and stable than during the Biden administration where we had a literal invasion of our southern border
And I think things are a lot more calm and under control and calculated than the first trumpet administration where he turned on and made enemies of all of his friends and it was daily chaos
I think most everything I am seeing here is calculated and designed the negotiations are typical Trump big threats, big talk, and eventual compromise where the end position is still further along than where Trump started and that’s his goal
If the US had a 10% tariff, he would threaten 50% on a nation dial it back to 30% and eventually settle at 15% and let the nation declare victory. While Trump knew that he had boosted their tariff by 50% from 10 to 15.
He has been much more activist and much less isolationist this time around. Bowing to the Hawks of the Republican Party.
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