Home Forums Wealth 12/11/2025 Job Recession Picking Up Steam

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    • #6452
      BigBalls
      Participant

      Money shot from the article:

      “If you look at when job growth really came to a standstill, it is back soon after Liberation Day,” he said.”

      Hate to say this guys, but I feel vindicated. I said this would happen back when tariffs were rolled out. I’m not always right but when I am, I hit the bullseye. Excuse me as I take a victory lap.

      https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/fodder-recession-top-economist-mark-212705753.html

      I’m not trying to panic or scare anyone but it’s becoming apparent that the job market is heading towards a recession. That might explain the Fed’s move to lower rate costs buying billions in T bills. Jobs >Inflation looks to be the Fed’s gamble.

      Small businesses are getting hammered and are laying off workers in large numbers.

      Employers have announced 1.1 million layoffs this year, a figure surpassed only during the pandemic shock of 2020 and the depths of the Great Recession. These announcements are global, and not all will materialize as U.S. cuts, Zandi advised, yet he considers their scale meaningful because they reflect decisions made months in advance of actual separations.

      “The stark assessment comes as hiring has stalled, unemployment is rising—especially for the most vulnerable workers—and layoff announcements are piling up. To Zandi, the next stage is already visible: “If we actually do see layoffs pick up,” he told Fortune,“then it certainly would be a jobs recession.”

       

      • This topic was modified 1 day, 7 hours ago by BigBalls.
      • This topic was modified 1 day, 7 hours ago by BigBalls.
    • #6468
      Java
      Keymaster

      Let’s hope this puts the brakes on Carvana and a few other high flyers.  I am always amazed how recessions really don’t affect the markets

      • #6522
        BigBalls
        Participant

        Good point, IMO, it’s because of the limited impact recessions have on corporate earnings. I pull that statement out of my ass but it seems that way to me. That’s why I think it’s a good idea to keep investments in stocks going right now. If anything stocks will hedge against the money printing that is coming. Businesses can increase prices to keep up with inflation caused by the money printing. Wall Street keeps on rolling while Main Street suffers. Sucks to be poor. Don’t be poor.

         

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